Based on the analysis of supply and demand, macroeconomics, climate, production costs, and other factors, providing an exact coffee price forecast for 2026 is challenging. However, potential price scenarios can be outlined.
The year 2026 is likely to see an adjustment in the global coffee market after the high-price period of previous years, especially if production from key countries like Brazil and Vietnam recovers as expected.
Global Market Price Forecast (Robusta and Arabica)
The year 2026 is likely to see an adjustment in the global coffee market after the high-price period of previous years, especially if production from key countries like Brazil and Vietnam recovers as expected.
Robusta Coffee (London Exchange):
- Base Scenario: With the recovery of Robusta production from Vietnam and a potential record Robusta output from Brazil , the global Robusta supply could increase significantly. This could exert downward pressure on prices. However, Robusta consumption may be supported by a consumer shift to more affordable products amid global economic uncertainty, as well as the growth of the instant coffee market and at-home consumption.
- Base price range forecast: 3,200 – 3,800 USD/ton.
- Pessimistic Scenario (lower price): If global production recovers more strongly than expected, while a significant slowdown in global economic growth reduces demand, Robusta prices could fall further.
- Pessimistic price range forecast: 2,800 – 3,200 USD/ton.
- Optimistic Scenario (higher price): If adverse weather factors (e.g., excessive rain from La Niña in Southeast Asia or drought in other Robusta regions) hinder production recovery, or if demand from emerging markets soars, Robusta prices could remain higher.
- Optimistic price range forecast: 3,800 – 4,500 USD/ton.
